Signal and Noise 6-33-U551JCA cooperative creatures connected through underground

cooperative creatures connected through underground networks by which trees communicate their vitality and vulnerabilities with communal lives not that different from our own

When four classmates from a small Massachusetts college move to New York to make their way

half elastic

Just as Bruce Cable's Bay Books is preparing for the return of bestselling author Mercer Mann

seventeen-year-old Ivy and her mom Dana's shared story comes down to a reckoning among a daughter

Signal and Noise 6-33-U551JCA cooperative creatures connected through undergroundDrawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of